Equity is the share of the pot your hand is worth right now: how often it wins if every
remaining card is dealt. The calculator above runs your hand against a real solver
opening range rather than a single hand, because a single hand is not what you are ever
actually against.
What is equity in poker?
The percentage of the time your hand wins at showdown, given everything known so far.
Ace-king against pocket queens is 46% equity, meaning it wins a little under half the
time if all five board cards come out.
Equity is not the same as your chance of winning the pot. Hands get folded, bets get
through, and money is won without showdown. Equity only answers the narrow question of
who has the better hand once every card is dealt, which is exactly the input a calling
decision needs and nothing more.
Why is equity against a range, not a hand?
Because you never know their two cards, and the answer changes enormously depending on
which two you assume.
Ace-king is a 46% underdog against pocket queens. Against ace-queen it is a 74%
favourite. Against a button opening range, which contains both of those and eighty-five
other hands, it is 63%. Only the third number is usable at the table, because it is
the only one that reflects what is actually in front of you.
That is why the calculator defaults to a range rather than a hand. Every preset here is
an exported solver range, with each hand weighted by how often the solver plays it: a
hand raised 48.6% of the time counts as roughly half a combination, not a whole one.
Treating mixed hands as fully in the range quietly overstates how strong your opponent
is, which is the error a hand-built range makes by construction.
Most calculators ask you to type a range yourself, or offer a slider for “the top 20% of
hands” sorted by raw strength. That sorting is wrong in a specific way: a solver opens
76s and 44 from the button while folding hands that rank above them on raw equity,
because position and playability matter and raw equity does not know about either. The
full opening charts show the real shapes.
How much equity do you need?
Enough to beat the price you are being offered, which is a pot odds
question rather than an equity one. The two numbers only mean something together.
| Bet you face | Equity you need |
|---|
| Third pot | 20% |
| Half pot | 25% |
| Two-thirds pot | 28.6% |
| Full pot | 33.3% |
So if the calculator gives you 40% against their range and you are facing a half-pot
bet, calling is profitable by a clear margin. At 22% against a pot-sized bet it is not,
and no amount of hoping changes it.
Does equity decide the hand?
No, and treating it as though it does is the most common way this number gets misused.
Equity tells you who is ahead if the hand goes to showdown with no more betting, and
real hands have more betting: fold equity, position and the money you win on later
streets all live outside this percentage. A flush draw with 36% equity is a clear call
when hitting it wins a large pot on the river, and a clear fold against someone who
shuts down the moment the flush card lands. The number is an input, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- Is equity the same as pot odds? No. Equity is how often you win; pot odds are the
price you are being offered. You compare the two.
- What does “equity against a range” mean? Your hand played against every hand your
opponent could hold in that spot, weighted by how often they hold each one.
- Is the number exact? It is an estimate. The calculator samples 40,000 runouts
rather than enumerating every possible board, which lands within about a quarter of a
point. The same spot always returns the same figure, so comparing two hands is safe.
Enumerating preflop range-versus-hand would be millions of boards for an answer that
reads the same.
- Can I use it postflop? Yes. Deal three, four or five board cards and it runs out
only the cards still to come.
- Does it work for Omaha? No. This is a Hold’em calculator; PLO equities are computed
differently and would need their own tool.
Where these ranges come from
The presets are the same solver ranges the PlusEV trainer deals, exported
straight from the app rather than approximated for the web. That is the part a generic
calculator cannot copy: not the arithmetic, which is standard, but knowing what a real
opening range from each seat actually contains.
Knowing your equity and producing the right fold at the table are different skills, and
only one of them is arithmetic. Across 1,043,612 measured post-training hands,
intermediate players gained +0.061 BB per hand after 30 days of drilling exactly these
spots. The calculator answers the question; the reps are what make you stop needing it.