About

Daniel Wilson writes the strategy pages here. What makes them worth reading is not his opinion, it is the evidence underneath them: PlusEV has recorded 1,043,612 hands of real training play, and every number quoted on this site is pulled from that set. Not a solver's idea of what players do. What they actually did, spot by spot, with the mistakes left in.

That data answers a question most strategy content skips. Everyone can tell you what the correct button opening range is. Almost nobody can tell you which hands in it real players get wrong, or how much that costs them per orbit. The second question is the one that changes anybody's results, and it needs measurement rather than theory.

Away from the site he plays mid and high stakes no-limit hold'em in Vegas, in games running the full spectrum: tourists punting a vacation budget on one end, regulars who have not misplayed a button open in living memory on the other. He came up the usual way, through small games and a notebook full of hands that all seemed to go wrong on the river, until the lesson finally stuck. By the time a pot gets big, most of the decision has already been made. The river gets the drama; preflop moves the money.

None of the figures in these articles are his session results. They are the app's, and the methodology behind them is set out below.

Where the numbers come from

The figures in these articles are aggregates from real training sessions inside the PlusEV app, not solver output dressed up as observation and not estimates. Every one carries a minimum-sample gate, and nothing traceable to an individual player is ever published. The method, and the 1,043,612 hands behind it, are set out in the impact study.

Questions or corrections: [email protected], or the PlusEV Discord.